VST — Vistra Corp. $158.63

Generated 2026-06-30 21:49
USAIND

Quality Scorecard Growth

B75/100
🟡 Pricing power (gross margin) 39% Gross margin 39% — moderate margins
✅ Return on equity 43% ROE 43% — high returns on capital
✅ Leverage (net debt / EBITDA) 2.8x Net debt / EBITDA 2.8x — low leverage
❌ Interest coverage 2x EBIT covers interest 2x — thin coverage
✅ Earnings consistency (revenue) 0/3 down 0 revenue-down year(s) in 3 — no down years
❌ Earnings growth (net income YoY) -64% Net income -64% YoY — earnings declining
✅ Cash conversion (CFO/NI) 431% Operating cash ÷ net income 431% — earnings convert to cash
✅ Operating margin trend improving Operating margin improving
✅ Revenue growth 43% Revenue +43% — strong demand growth
🟡 Growth trajectory mild deceleration YoY +3% vs +12% prior 2-yr avg — mild deceleration
✅ Dilution control -0.9%/yr Shares -0.9% YoY — dilution controlled
✅ Rule of 40 51 growth 43% + FCF margin 7% = 51 — healthy growth + profitability

Growth-stage checklist (proxy metrics from yfinance). 12 of 12 criteria scored. Not financial advice.

Buy-Now Score

75/100
Quality ×40%75
Trajectory ×30%60
Valuation ×30%90

Comparative rank: 40% Quality + 30% Trajectory + 30% Valuation — higher = better buy now. Not financial advice.

Valuation

$142.77$245.18
Price $158.63Analyst $222.89 (+41%)

Analyst: 18 analysts. MarketGist fair = analyst consensus only (no DCF — financial, or no free-cash-flow data). Not financial advice.

Key Trends (6-yr)

GAAP EPS
▼ -69.4% YoY
Sales
▲ +3.0% YoY
Shares Outstanding
▼ -0.5% YoY

Company Overview

Basic Information

Company Name: Vistra Corp.
Symbol: VST
Exchange: NYQ
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Utilities - Independent Power Producers

Company Details

Country: United States
City: Irving
Employees: 6,390
Market Cap: $53.49B
Website: https://vistracorp.com

Business Description

Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It is also involved in electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel procurement, and fuel logistics management activities. In addition, the company engages in decommissioning and reclamation of retired generation facilities, including mines, and battery removal and remediation activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 44,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.

Key Metrics

Price & Valuation

Current Price
$158.63
Market Cap
$53.49B
P/E Ratio
26.53
Forward P/E
14.68
PEG Ratio
0.48
Price to Book
17.18

Profitability

Profit Margin: 11.53%
Operating Margin: 26.58%
Gross Margin: 38.64%
Return on Equity (ROE): 42.90%
Return on Assets (ROA): 6.02%
Revenue Growth: 43.40%

Financial Health

Current Ratio: 0.90
Quick Ratio: 0.26
Debt to Equity: 355.19
Total Debt: $19.93B
Total Cash: $658.00M
Beta: 1.41

Trading & Analyst Info

52-Week Range

52-Week High: $219.82
52-Week Low: $132.66
50-Day Average: $154.72
200-Day Average: $169.42

Analyst Recommendations

Recommendation: STRONG_BUY
Target Mean Price: $222.89
Target High: $320.00
Target Low: $99.00

Price graph

Price vs Rates, Inflation & Volume (long-term)

Dotted = market-implied expectation (next ~12 mo), not a prediction.

Quarterly Verdict

🟢 95/100

Worth buying

Quality grade B; 5 improving / 1 weakening metrics YoY.

➕ Return on equity: ROE 43% — high returns on capital
➕ Leverage (net debt / EBITDA): Net debt / EBITDA 2.8x — low leverage
➖ Interest coverage: EBIT covers interest 2x — thin coverage
➕ Earnings consistency (revenue): 0 revenue-down year(s) in 3 — no down years
➖ Earnings growth (net income YoY): Net income -64% YoY — earnings declining
➕ Cash conversion (CFO/NI): Operating cash ÷ net income 431% — earnings convert to cash
➕ Operating margin trend: Operating margin improving
➕ Revenue growth: Revenue +43% — strong demand growth
➕ Dilution control: Shares -0.9% YoY — dilution controlled
➕ Rule of 40: growth 43% + FCF margin 7% = 51 — healthy growth + profitability
➕ Revenue +43.4% YoY
➕ Net income +484.0% YoY
➕ Operating margin +29.6 pts YoY
➕ Free cash flow +287.0% YoY
➕ Cash +13.0% YoY
➖ Debt +12.6% YoY

Heuristic from the Quality Scorecard + quarter-over-quarter trends. Not financial advice.

Financial Statements

Income Statement (Annual)

Item2025-12-312024-12-312023-12-312022-12-312021-12-31
Tax Effect Of Unusual Items$-27.82M$16.63M$9.40M$57.12MN/A
Tax Rate For Calcs$0.16$0.19$0.25$0.22N/A
Normalized EBITDA$5.23B$6.87B$4.54B$794.00MN/A
Total Unusual Items$-175.00M$88.00M$37.00M$255.00MN/A
Total Unusual Items Excluding Goodwill$-175.00M$88.00M$37.00M$255.00MN/A
Net Income From Continuing Operation Net Minority Interest$944.00M$2.66B$1.49B$-1.23BN/A
Reconciled Depreciation$2.95B$2.63B$1.96B$2.05BN/A
Reconciled Cost Of Revenue$10.94B$8.91B$8.80B$11.60BN/A
EBITDA$5.05B$6.96B$4.57B$1.05BN/A
EBIT$2.10B$4.33B$2.62B$-998.00MN/A
Net Interest Income$-1.09B$-894.00M$-621.00M$-600.00MN/A
Interest Expense$982.00M$859.00M$617.00M$562.00MN/A
Interest Income$18.00M$65.00M$86.00M$19.00MN/A
Normalized Income$1.09B$2.59B$1.47B$-1.42BN/A
Net Income From Continuing And Discontinued Operation$944.00M$2.66B$1.49B$-1.23BN/A

Showing 15 of 52 rows

Balance Sheet (Annual)

Item2025-12-312024-12-312023-12-312022-12-312021-12-31
Treasury Shares Number$215.60M$209.00M$192.18M$147.42MN/A
Ordinary Shares Number$338.06M$339.75M$351.46M$389.75MN/A
Share Issued$553.66M$548.75M$543.64M$537.18MN/A
Net Debt$19.28B$15.86B$10.92B$12.59BN/A
Total Debt$20.07B$17.05B$14.68B$13.34BN/A
Tangible Book Value$-2.62B$-1.93B$-1.62B$-1.64BN/A
Invested Capital$22.69B$20.14B$17.23B$15.95BN/A
Working Capital$-2.63B$-313.00M$1.81B$779.00MN/A
Net Tangible Assets$-148.00M$550.00M$860.00M$361.00MN/A
Capital Lease ObligationsN/A$316.00M$275.00M$290.00M$278.00M
Common Stock Equity$2.62B$3.09B$2.83B$2.90BN/A
Preferred Stock Equity$2.48B$2.48B$2.48B$2.00BN/A
Total Capitalization$20.94B$20.99B$17.42B$16.84BN/A
Total Equity Gross Minority Interest$5.11B$5.58B$5.32B$4.92BN/A
Minority Interest$13.00M$13.00M$15.00M$16.00MN/A

Showing 15 of 88 rows

Cash Flow Statement (Annual)

Item2025-12-312024-12-312023-12-312022-12-312021-12-31
Free Cash Flow$1.32B$2.48B$3.78B$-816.00MN/A
Repurchase Of Capital Stock$-1.03B$-1.27B$-1.25B$-1.95BN/A
Repayment Of Debt$-3.82B$-4.14B$-1.21B$-4.50BN/A
Issuance Of Debt$6.02B$6.42B$2.60B$6.40BN/A
Issuance Of Capital StockN/AN/A$0.00$0.00$2.00B
Capital Expenditure$-2.75B$-2.08B$-1.68B$-1.30BN/A
Interest Paid Supplemental Data$1.04B$910.00M$599.00M$552.00MN/A
End Cash Position$822.00M$1.22B$3.54B$525.00MN/A
Beginning Cash Position$1.22B$3.54B$525.00M$1.36BN/A
Changes In Cash$-400.00M$-2.32B$3.01B$-834.00MN/A
Financing Cash Flow$-74.00M$-1.60B$-294.00M$-80.00MN/A
Cash Flow From Continuing Financing Activities$-74.00M$-1.60B$-294.00M$-80.00MN/A
Net Other Financing Charges$-745.00M$-2.14B$24.00M$425.00MN/A
Cash Dividends Paid$-498.00M$-478.00M$-463.00M$-453.00MN/A
Preferred Stock Dividend Paid$-192.00M$-173.00M$-150.00M$-151.00MN/A

Showing 15 of 67 rows

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